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2024-11-23T23:56:55+00:00
- About:
- I'm Sarah. I'm a Brit who fled to Portugal on account of Brexit, increasing intolerance and the British weather. I like climbing (although I can't do much any more for health reasons) and sailing. This is a Friendica account. Friendica is kinda like Facebook as Mastodon is kinda like Twitter, except they can talk to each other.
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8a89e8f8-1163-bf26-9c60-108967544820
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goatsarah
- Full_name
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Sarah Brown
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true
- First_name
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Sarah
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Brown
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https://thegoatery.dyndns.org/
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Sarah Brown
Unknown parent • •Jay π³π± πͺπΊ (Free π΅πΈ)
in reply to Sarah Brown • • •@tommyyum
I'm not so sure - outside of the MAGA, I don't think he's got the votes in a general election. Since 2016, he's lost 3 straight (2018 and 2022 midterms and the 2020 general).
My guess/hope is that moderate Republicans stay at home if Trump is the nominee. In addition, there's the 14th amendment issue that will end up in the Supreme Court.
npr.org/2023/09/25/1200130870/β¦
While that won't bar him from every state, he just needs to be barred from certain swing states.
FeralRobots
in reply to Jay π³π± πͺπΊ (Free π΅πΈ) • • •I worry less about him winning than about people who are crazy enough to do something if he doesn't. We haven't yet done anything to convince that lot it's better for them to sit tight.
Pete Alex Harrisπ¦‘πΈοΈπ²/βπͺβ«
in reply to FeralRobots • • •Although to be fair, those same people will gleefully do worse if he wins, so even if his winning is improbable, it's still the bigger worry.
FeralRobots
in reply to Pete Alex Harrisπ¦‘πΈοΈπ²/βπͺβ« • • •Well that's the thing, there's precedent to suggest that if they're sufficiently discouraged, most won't try anything. E.g. they tend not so show up at polls if they think their guy's gonna lose. I agree with @goatsarah that we could do more in that regard. But more than we're doing would entail Democrats ignoring law, which isn't something they'll agree as a party to doing. (Dem corruption tends to be an individual choice, rather than structural.)
@jaybhatt @tommyyum
FeralRobots
in reply to Sarah Brown • • •@tommyyum
The principle motivating feeling of most American Republicans is fear. Even their greed is subordinate to & filtered through fear. (I suspect Tories are similar, AFAICS this is super common for conservatives in general.)
So 'stop being frightened of the guy who can unlease an overwhelming swarm of low-skill ratfuckers' is a noble aspiration, but one to which the majority of Republicans cannot obtain.
Sarah Brown
in reply to FeralRobots • •FeralRobots
in reply to Sarah Brown • • •Democrats as such can't do anything specifically to stop him. Some specific democrats (like Tish James or Fani Willis) can, & are. & the parts of the judiciary who'd allow it are Republican - we're well down the road to judiciary-capture in the US. At this point our Supreme Court is just John Edwards' sense of propriety away from endorsing one-party rule.